I'm already starting to lose track of which countries have officially confirmed (versus suspected) local cases of this new strain of Swine Flu.

Maybe we can build a current list and update it as new confirmations are added.

So far there have been official confirmations in these countries:

Mexico................... 18 confirmed cases?
US......................... 20 confirmed cases?
Canada.................. 4 confirmed cases?

... and others?


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 7 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 8 cases
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 2 cases
TOTAL COUNT.......... 20 cases


We can add more detail for other countries as wanted.


MomCares 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Worldmap Update

here's a link for latest cases worldwide 

Thanks for adding the link to this thread, Sean!

Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 18 confirmed cases
US......................... 20 confirmed cases
Canada.................. 4 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 10 confirmed cases {not sure these are confirmed?}


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 7 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 8 cases
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 2 cases
US TOTAL ............ 20 cases...... 5 states


We can add more detail for other countries as wanted.
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=U...81&source=embed


MomCares 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

So far the tests are positive for influenza A:

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/a...10568808&pnum=0

they say it's likely to be swine flu, but given that the two aren't easily distinguishable http://scienceblogs.com/effectmeasu...lu_from_cdc.php

how are they going to know? 

JW,
Probably via PCR (polymarese chain reaction) test-you can run a PCR to test for the seasonal H1N1-if that comes up negative (and other tests say it's H1N1-just not which subtype) then it most likely is the Swine Flu variant... I'm a little surprised NZ hasn't done that yet (maybe they don't have those facilities?)

Franc (penguinzee) 

__________________ 
Watch what they do, not what they say...
"Get Busy Living, Or Get Busy Dying" Andy Dufresne, The ShawShank Redemption
-If we were truly intelligent, there would be no politics- Franc (penguinzee) 

Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 18 confirmed cases
US......................... 20 confirmed cases
Canada.................. 6 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 10 confirmed cases {not sure these are confirmed?}
Israel.................... 1 confirmed case {not sure this is confirmed?}


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 7 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 8 cases
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 2 cases
US TOTAL ............ 20 cases...... 5 states


We can add more detail for other countries as wanted.
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=U...81&source=embed


MomCares[/QUOTE] 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Probably unrelated but ProMed noted a case in Spain in Nov 08. I thought it might be worth keeping on the radar as the source of the outbreak is investigated.

INFLUENZA A(H1N1) VIRUS, SWINE, HUMAN - SPAIN 

Hi Franc,

I read that New Zealand had to send the samples to Australia for testing, that is prob. the reason for the delay. 

have they already put out a swine flu PCR reference sample?

How would that accomodate mutations as it moves around? 

Some areas of the viral genome must be stable in order for the virus to be viable. Primers are generally designed around those areas that are the most stable. 

__________________ 

"When someone loves you, the way they say your name is different. You just know that your name is safe in their mouth."
Billy - age 4

stephanie

 

And genetic drift takes on average ~18months (don't know the range) before the changes require a vaccine change.

With H5N1, it isn't circulating yet so a vaccine choice would be premature. One cannot predict the makeup of the strain that might circulate in the future. By necessity, it would have to be different just to spread efficiently H2H.

This new strain of H1N1 is already circulating. It won't be long before some predictions can be made about the likelihood it will still be circulating when the next flu vaccine production begins. That is only a month or so from now for the Northern hemisphere vaccine. It makes sense to add it to the mix.

Interesting in that there was already talk of adding a 4th strain but the recommendation being determined was going to be to add a 2nd B strain. Now we may get 3 A strains and 1 B strain instead. 

The NZ cases are unconfirmed. At the moment they are Influenza A. There are also 3 unconfirmed possible cases in Australia. 

__________________ 
Currently reading - The Sunstorm 

Reuters is now reporting Spain confirms one case of flu. http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/MDT006300.htm
MADRID, April 27 (Reuters) - A case of swine flu has been confirmed in a patient in Spain and 17 sick people are under investigation, the Health Ministry said. (Reporting by Itziar Reinlein; writing by Jason Webb) 

Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 18 confirmed cases
US......................... 20 confirmed cases
Canada.................. 6 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 10 confirmed cases {not sure these are confirmed?}
Israel.................... 1 confirmed case {not sure this is confirmed?}
Spain......................1 confirmed case

US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 7 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 8 cases
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 2 cases
US TOTAL ............ 20 cases...... 5 states 

Twitter reports that two cases in Scotland have been confirmed by the country's Health Minister. Sky News is reporting that at least 7 peopole who had come into contact with these two confirmed cases have developed similar symptoms. Toss Scotland on the list....

Also, add 20 new confirmed cases of swine flu in New York City, all students form the same school. 

__________________ 
For us, the challenge is to achieve a proper balance between the dire warnings of Chicken Little and the folly of playing ostrich. --Steven M. Wolinsky, Science, Feb. 10, 2006.

Quiplash.

I've decided that, starting June 15, 2009, I am going to place any flubie posts to three places:
1. FluTrackers.com;
2. curevents.com (my original home); and
3. curevents.org (where the ever-on-top-of-it CanadaSue posts). 

Since WHO seems slow to report, it's hard to know for sure which to consider "official" confirmations, so for now let's leave notes in cases we've only seen limited reference to. Plus maybe we can post notices of "official" government confirmations as we see them.

Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 18 confirmed cases {I think more are confirmed?}
US......................... 20 confirmed cases
Canada.................. 6 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 10 confirmed cases {not sure these are confirmed?}
Israel.................... 1 confirmed case {not sure this is confirmed?}
Spain......................1 confirmed case
Scotland.................. 2 confirmed cases {haven't seen it in print}

US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 7 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 28 cases {not yet seen the added 20 in print}
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 2 cases
US TOTAL ............ 40 cases...... 5 states {added 20 not yet on CDC site} 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

In Scotland if we have cases that did not travel to Mexico, is this a first occurance of transmission from someone not traveling to Mexico? If so I think it might be a big mental boundry with WHO that has just been crossed. 

I don't think the first cases in CA or Texas had recently travelled to Mexico, had they?

But I think they would be the first cases that far away with no recent Mexico travel history.


MomCares 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Of the confirmed 2 in Kansas, only the husband had traveled to Mexico and the wife came down with it shortly after he returned home. 

__________________ 
.
.

Roscoe and Miss Priss 

Shall we say this is "official" confirmation of the Scottish cases?

Scots swine flu cases confirmed
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/...est/8020208.stm

Two people admitted to a Scottish hospital after returning from Mexico have been confirmed as the first British cases of swine flu.

Scottish Health Secretary Nicola Sturgeon said both patients were recovering well.

She said seven other people who had been in contact with them were now displaying mild symptoms. 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

CDC just posted a confirmation of the 20 additional NY cases, so I'll remove the notes from those and the Scotland cases.

Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 20 confirmed deaths {1900+ hospitalized suspects, 100+ suspect deaths?}
US......................... 20 confirmed cases
Canada.................. 6 confirmed cases
Spain......................1 confirmed case
Scotland.................. 2 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 10 confirmed cases {not sure these are confirmed?}
Israel.................... 1 confirmed case {not sure this is confirmed?}


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 7 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 28 cases
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 2 cases
US TOTAL ............ 40 cases...... 5 states  

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Just saw on CNN that two are confirmed. 

The latest update from MOH website in New Zealand says 3 confirmed. It's only been up for about 10 minutes.

http://www.moh.govt.nz/moh.nsf/inde...-testing-280409 

Yes, one confirmed (incoming on dutch tv news) 

Can someone cofirm NC/SC (USA)unconfirmed swine flu, I just had a patient come in and say they heard on news that NC and SC had swine flu. Much thanks will check thread between patients. 

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...te-graphic.html

New York Times saying confirmed US cases = 50 

__________________ 
The Big Bird is watching you.. 

Unconfirmed -
SC - Prep school students that had just returned from Mexico.
Also - same paper is reporting that in NC the Health Department, along with the director of Epidemeology(?) is saying there's some cases in NC that are being looked at as potential swine flu cases. Prelim tests results due weds - confirmation expected thursday
Sc news story:
http://www.thesunnews.com/575/story/877265.html

NC news story:
http://www.thesunnews.com/564/story/877773.html

Best Regards
Vog 

Wow! It's been a busy night (and I didn't sleep all that long)... Let me know if I miss anything -- and others please don't hesitate to update the list any time you find official confirmations. We can all help keep each other honest.


Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 26 confirmed cases {1900+ hospitalized suspects, 150+ deaths Mexico calls confirmed?}
US......................... 40 confirmed cases {reports of 50-55}
Canada.................. 6 confirmed cases
Spain......................1 confirmed case
Scotland.................. 2 confirmed cases {are these confirmed?}
New Zealand......... 3 confirmed cases
Israel.................... 1 confirmed case


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 7 cases {reports of 13-14 confirmed}
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 28 cases {report of 29 confirmed}
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 2 cases {report of 5 confirmed}
US TOTAL ............ 40 cases...... 5 states {reports of 50-55} 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Check this world map with cases ans suspected cases - it is superb !

http://www.idemc.org/ 

Let's start keeping a list of the various case-tracking maps along with the Master list...



Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 26 confirmed cases {1900+ hospitalized suspects, 150+ deaths Mexico calls confirmed?}
US......................... 40 confirmed cases {reports of 50-55}
Canada.................. 6 confirmed cases
Spain......................1 confirmed case {reports of 2 cases}
Scotland.................. 2 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 3 confirmed cases {reports of 11 confirmed cases}
Israel.................... 1 confirmed case


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 7 cases {reports of 13-14 confirmed}
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 28 cases {report of 29 confirmed}
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 2 cases {report of 5 confirmed}
US TOTAL ............ 40 cases...... 5 states {reports of 50-55}



Various case-tracking maps...
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...te-graphic.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/200...outbreak-source
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=U...81&source=embed 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Scotland cases confirmed 2 + 7 supected
http://news.scotsman.com/latestnews...tish.5210861.jp
Swine flu confirmed at Scottish hospital


Deputy First Minister & Cabinet Secretary for Health and Wellbeing, Nicola Sturgeon, confirms that two people in Scotland have tested positive for swine flu, during a press conference at St Andrews House in Edinburgh


By Lyndsay Moss, Hamish Macdonell and David Maddox
THE UK's first cases of swine flu were confirmed in Scotland yesterday, as countries around the world took dramatic action to try to contain the rising tide of infection.
Scottish health secretary Nicola Sturgeon said two people, a man and a woman who are being kept in isolation at a hospital in Lanarkshire, had tested positive for swine flu, while a further seven people who had been in contact with them were experiencing symptoms and undergoing tests. 

CDC just updated their site. NY is WINNING {go team}!!


Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 26 confirmed cases {1900+ hospitalized suspects, 150+ deaths Mexico calls confirmed?}
US......................... 64 confirmed cases
Canada.................. 6 confirmed cases {reports of more confirmations}
Spain......................1 confirmed case {reports of 2 cases}
Scotland.................. 2 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 3 confirmed cases
Israel.................... 1 confirmed case


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 10 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 45 cases
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 6 cases
US TOTAL ............ 64 cases...... 5 states



Various case-tracking maps...
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...te-graphic.html
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/200...outbreak-source
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=U...81&source=embed 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

I am puzzled now, BBC is reporting 8 countries, I can see only 7 on the list.. anyone knows what is the 8th country? 

__________________ 
The Big Bird is watching you.. 

This may not apply in this case, but IIRC under the new international health regulations countries are supposed to report cases to WHO, but they are NOT obligated to allow their status to be made public.

Has anyone else heard of another country with confirmed cases today?


MomCares 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

According to SKY NEWS map the 8th country is South Korea

http://news.sky.com/skynews/Interac...s/Swine-Flu-Map 

__________________ 
The Big Bird is watching you.. 

Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 26 confirmed cases {1900+ hospitalized suspects, 150+ deaths Mexico calls confirmed?}
US......................... 64 confirmed cases
Canada.................. 13 confirmed cases
Spain......................2 confirmed case
Scotland.................. 2 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 3 confirmed cases
Israel.................... 2 confirmed cases
South Korea........... 1 confirmed case


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 10 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 45 cases
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 6 cases
US TOTAL ............ 64 cases...... 5 states



Various case-tracking maps...
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...te-graphic.html
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=U...81&source=embed 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Seems things are getting to the point where confirmation doesn't matter, and may be misleading. Out of all the cases being mentioned as possible, probable, or suspect, such as hundreds of students in New York, how many will actually be tested and then "confirmed." The idea that Mexico has less "confirmed" cases than the U.S. shows that "confirmed" focuses on testing. Testing which can't keep up with the growing numbers.

It may be time to add to reports on "confirmed" by trying to track how many people are infected according to reliable reports. 

Totally agreed that the numbers of confirmed in any given area become meaningless after the virus is deemed endemic in that area and/or testing capabilities are overwhelmed.

For example, NYC has apparently just stopped testing anything other than serious cases, since they need resources elsewhere rather than confirming every mildly ill child in St. Francis Prep, for example.

It's still worth tracking areas reporting new cases, and for now we may as well track confirmations at least until they announce testing suspensions in given areas.

There's also more discussion of this on our Testing thread.
http://www.curevents.com/vb/showthread.php?t=100590

Maybe on our list we can start making notes of places we know have started limiting testing (eg NYC) or are not keeping up (Mexico).

Great idea -- let's add those reports here as we start seeing them for areas where testing isn't keeping pace!


MomCares 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 26** confirmed cases {1900+ hospitalized suspects, 150+ deaths Mexico calls confirmed -- ** testing NOT keeping pace with infections}
US......................... 64*** confirmed cases {***NYC no longer testing mild cases}
Canada.................. 13 confirmed cases
Spain......................2 confirmed case
Scotland.................. 2 confirmed cases
New Zealand......... 3 confirmed cases
Israel.................... 2 confirmed cases
South Korea........... 1 confirmed case


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 10 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 45*** cases {***NYC reports no longer testing mild cases so total cases understated}
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 6 cases
US TOTAL ............ 64 cases...... 5 states



Various case-tracking maps...
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...te-graphic.html
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=U...81&source=embed 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.

 

Added Germany to our list...


Countries with Official Human Swine Flu Confirmations:

Mexico.................. 26** confirmed {1000+ hospitalized, 150+ deaths Mexico calls confirmed -- ** testing NOT keeping pace}
US......................... 64*** confirmed cases {***NYC no longer testing mild cases}
Canada.................. 13 confirmed cases
Spain......................2 confirmed case
UK/Scotland............. 2 confirmed cases {report of 3 more cases}
New Zealand......... 3 confirmed cases
Israel.................... 2 confirmed cases
South Korea........... 1 confirmed case
Germany................ 3 confirmed cases


US States with Confirmed Cases:

California................. 10 cases
Kansas.................... 2 cases
New York................. 45*** cases {***NYC reports no longer testing mild cases so total cases understated}
Ohio........................ 1 case
Texas...................... 6 cases
US TOTAL ............ 64 cases...... 5 states

#################################

** The suspected death toll in Mexico reached 152 last night, with over 2,000 people infected.

Various case-tracking maps...
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...te-graphic.html
http://maps.google.com/maps/ms?ie=U... <br /> <br /> 

__________________ 

"I don't want to make money. I just want to be wonderful." - Marilyn Monroe

Don't anthropomorphize viruses. They hate that.